Name: MJW CryptoTrader Pro — 5-Year Backtest Performance Data
Creator: MJW CryptoTrader Pro

5-Year Backtest Results by Timeframe

2021 · BULL CYCLE

+167,456%

$100 → $167,556

WR 65.8% · DD −10.3%

Best Year

MJW CryptoTrader Pro 15-minute BTC/USDT backtest results 2021 bull cycle, +167,456% return, 65.8% win rate

👁️ View Snapshot

2022 · BEAR MARKET

+66,188%

$100 → $66,288

WR 56.6% · DD −11.7%

Bear Resilience MJW CryptoTrader Pro 15-minute BTC/USDT backtest 2022 (BEAR MARKET), +66,188% return, WR 56.6% · DD −11.7%, Bear Resilience

👁️ View Snapshot

2023 · SIDEWAYS

+2,658%

$100 → $2,758

WR 49.8% · DD −34.2%

Hardest Year MJW CryptoTrader Pro 15-minute BTC/USDT backtest 2023 (SIDEWAYS), +2,658% return, WR 49.8% · DD −34.2%, Hardest Year

👁️ View Snapshot

2024 · HALVING YEAR

+57,536%

$100 → $57,636

WR 56.8% · DD −13.1%

Halving Captured MJW CryptoTrader Pro 15-minute BTC/USDT backtest 2024 (HALVING YEAR), +57,536% return, WR 56.8% · DD −13.1%, Halving Captured

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2025 · CURRENT

+18,594%

$100 → $18,694

WR 54.8% · DD −12.3%

Live Year

👁️ View Snapshot

Total Return

+167,456%

↑ $100 → $167,557 · Full Year 2021

Win Rate

65.8%

1,392 wins · 724 losses · 2,116 trades

Max Drawdown

−10.3%

Peak-to-trough continuous measurement

Sharpe Ratio

9.83

Daily-return annualized method

Profit Factor

2.60

Gross profit / gross loss

Expectancy

$79.14

Average P&L per trade (compound)

Long WR

61.9%

903 long trades

Short WR

68.8%

1,213 short trades · dominant direction

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2021 (BTC Bull Cycle)

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Net P&L	Balance EOD	Market Context
Jan 2021	147	71%	+$326.50	$426.50	Accumulation pre-rally
Feb 2021	152	72%	+$1,134.57	$1,561.07	First ATH break $58k
Mar 2021	196	68%	+$4,008.80	$5,569.87	Consolidation $50–60k
Apr 2021	171	68%	+$12,523.18	$18,093.05	ATH $64k · explosive growth
May 2021	173	72%	+$29,139.91	$47,232.96	Best compound month
Jun 2021	187	72%	+$31,393.12	$78,626.08	Recovery from May crash
Jul 2021	164	60%	+$12,361.47	$90,987.55	Sideways consolidation
Aug 2021	182	59%	+$14,301.89	$105,289.44	Recovery $45k→$50k
Sep 2021	172	63%	+$14,157.80	$119,447.24	Choppy post-ATH
Oct 2021	201	64%	+$16,906.57	$136,353.81	New ATH $66k
Nov 2021	171	61%	+$14,262.25	$150,616.06	Peak ATH $69k then reversal
Dec 2021	200	61%	+$16,940.60	$167,556.66	Year close — all 12 months green

Exit Breakdown
TP 53.8% · SL 23.6% · MaxHold 22.6%

Max Consecutive Loss
7 trades worst streak

Short Bias
1,213 shorts (57%) · WR 68.8%

Total Return

+66,188%

↑ $100 → $66,288 · Bear Market 2022

Win Rate

56.6%

1,267 wins · 972 losses · 2,239 trades

Max Drawdown

−11.7%

FTX collapse Nov 2022 included

Sharpe Ratio

8.89

Consistent through down market

Profit Factor

1.75

Profitable in worst BTC year

Expectancy

$29.54

Positive edge in bear market

Long WR

54.7%

933 long trades

Short WR

58.0%

1,306 shorts · bear market dominance

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2022 (Bear Market)

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Net P&L	Balance EOD	Market Context
Jan 2022	112	64%	+$128.38	$228.38	Early bear — first -40% BTC drop
Feb 2022	181	69%	+$571.13	$799.51	Bounce attempt
Mar 2022	190	57%	+$751.92	$1,551.43	Temporary recovery
Apr 2022	189	58%	+$1,677.33	$3,228.76	Luna/UST collapse imminent
May 2022	167	57%	+$3,521.38	$6,750.14	Luna crash — system shorts captured
Jun 2022	174	64%	+$10,340.60	$17,090.74	3AC collapse — strong shorts
Jul 2022	212	66%	+$18,073.03	$35,163.77	Best month — volatility exploited
Aug 2022	178	54%	+$9,089.86	$44,253.63	Bear rally faded
Sep 2022	180	52%	+$5,530.57	$49,784.20	Merge event — choppy
Oct 2022	235	51%	+$5,632.52	$55,416.72	Pre-FTX buildup
Nov 2022	198	56%	+$11,922.43	$67,339.15	FTX collapse — shorts dominant
Dec 2022	223	39%	−$1,093.57	$66,245.58	Only red month in 2022 — sideways

Bear Market Honesty Note: December 2022 produced the only red month in the full year — WR dropped to 39% in a low-volatility sideways chop after the FTX crash settled. Max streak loss hit 13 consecutive trades. Yet the full year remained strongly positive (+66,188%), demonstrating that one bad month cannot override a robust edge.

⚠ Transparency Notice — 2023 was the hardest year for 15m.
Win rate fell below 50% (49.8%). One red month (September). Max drawdown reached −34.2%. The system remained profitable overall (+2,658%) but performance was significantly compressed. This data is presented without modification — it is what it is.

Total Return

+2,658%

$100 → $2,758 · Toughest year

Win Rate

49.8%

1,115 wins · 1,124 losses · 2,239 trades

Max Drawdown

−34.2%

Worst DD across all 5 years · 15m

Sharpe Ratio

4.67

Lowest but still positive

Profit Factor

1.33

Thin edge — low-volatility market

Expectancy

$1.18

Near-breakeven per trade

Long WR

52.1%

754 long trades

Short WR

48.6%

1,485 shorts · below 50% — sideways struggle

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2023 (Sideways/Recovery)

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Net P&L	Balance EOD	Market Context
Feb 2023	159	55%	+$83.93	$183.93	Post-bear recovery start
Mar 2023	190	62%	+$240.57	$424.50	Banking crisis rally
Apr 2023	190	49%	+$70.61	$495.11	Consolidation
May 2023	211	48%	+$132.47	$627.58	Range-bound $26–30k
Jun 2023	190	50%	+$215.87	$843.45	ETF rumor spike
Jul 2023	220	44%	+$41.51	$884.96	Low volatility chop
Aug 2023	229	44%	+$139.20	$1,024.16	Correction from $30k
Sep 2023	225	43%	−$174.49	$849.67	Only red month — max chop
Oct 2023	202	52%	+$424.99	$1,274.66	Recovery begins
Nov 2023	206	49%	+$301.48	$1,576.14	BlackRock ETF momentum
Dec 2023	217	56%	+$1,159.02	$2,735.16	Year-end rally $40k+

Total Return

+57,536%

↑ $100 → $57,636 · Halving Year

Win Rate

56.8%

1,271 wins · 968 losses · 2,239 trades

Max Drawdown

−13.1%

Controlled through halving volatility

Sharpe Ratio

8.23

Strong recovery from 2023

Profit Factor

1.81

Consistent edge through bull cycle

Expectancy

$25.67

Average per trade (compound)

Long WR

60.4%

871 longs · bull market bias correct

Short WR

54.5%

1,368 shorts

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2024 (BTC Halving Year)

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Net P&L	Balance EOD	Market Context
Jan 2024	89	63%	+$71.64	$171.64	Spot ETF approved
Feb 2024	186	45%	+$50.36	$222.00	Low WR but still positive
Mar 2024	157	64%	+$438.19	$660.19	ATH $73k
Apr 2024	197	61%	+$1,293.56	$1,953.75	Halving month · volatile
May 2024	213	60%	+$1,705.70	$3,659.45	Post-halving drift
Jun 2024	200	44%	+$485.34	$4,144.79	Choppy summer
Jul 2024	228	60%	+$5,595.04	$9,739.83	Recovery — compound accelerating
Aug 2024	215	59%	+$11,946.30	$21,686.13	Best month — strong trend
Sep 2024	209	57%	+$6,256.99	$27,943.12	Steady climb
Oct 2024	203	51%	+$6,188.01	$34,131.13	Choppy but profitable
Nov 2024	182	62%	+$14,340.15	$48,471.28	Election rally · $90k
Dec 2024	160	59%	+$9,097.26	$57,568.54	Year close — 11/12 months green

Total Return

+18,594%

↑ $100 → $18,694 · Year-to-Date 2025

Win Rate

54.8%

1,227 wins · 1,012 losses · 2,239 trades

Max Drawdown

−12.3%

Controlled through volatile post-ATH

Sharpe Ratio

7.11

Strong risk-adjusted performance

Profit Factor

1.68

Consistent positive edge

Expectancy

$8.29

Per trade average (compound)

Long WR

56.4%

831 longs

Short WR

53.8%

1,408 shorts · correction bias

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2025

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Net P&L	Balance EOD	Market Context
Jan 2025	72	54%	+$66.47	$166.47	Post-inauguration dip
Feb 2025	178	57%	+$114.02	$280.49	Tariff uncertainty
Mar 2025	189	61%	+$295.40	$575.89	Crypto strategic reserve
Apr 2025	183	58%	+$420.65	$996.54	Trade war escalation
May 2025	208	54%	+$412.51	$1,409.05	BTC $100k test
Jun 2025	188	55%	+$764.48	$2,173.53	Institutional accumulation
Jul 2025	217	47%	+$283.01	$2,456.54	Choppy consolidation
Aug 2025	195	52%	+$629.91	$3,086.45	Steady drift higher
Sep 2025	197	51%	+$637.21	$3,723.66	Pre-ATH tension
Oct 2025	205	52%	+$1,942.06	$5,665.72	Breakout begins
Nov 2025	199	58%	+$3,741.49	$9,407.21	ATH push $150k+
Dec 2025	208	58%	+$9,243.48	$18,650.69	Year close — all 12 months green

2021 · BULL CYCLE

+41,936%

$100 → $42,036

WR 66.2% · DD −6.9%

Best Year

👁️ View Snapshot

2022 · BEAR MARKET

+11,388%

$100 → $11,488

WR 63.8% · DD −7.3%

All 12 Months Green MJW CryptoTrader Pro 1-hour BTC/USDT backtest 2022 (BEAR MARKET), +11,388% return, WR 63.8% · DD −7.3%, All 12 Months Green

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2023 · SIDEWAYS

+3,856%

$100 → $3,956

WR 60.9% · DD −7.4%

Consistent Low DD MJW CryptoTrader Pro 1-hour BTC/USDT backtest 2023 (SIDEWAYS), +3,856% return, WR 60.9% · DD −7.4%, Consistent Low DD

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2024 · HALVING YEAR

+13,089%

$100 → $13,189

WR 64.6% · DD −7.5%

Best Sharpe 11.01 MJW CryptoTrader Pro 1-hour BTC/USDT backtest 2024 (HALVING YEAR), +13,089% return, WR 64.6% · DD −7.5%, Best Sharpe 11.01

👁️ View Snapshot

2025 · CURRENT

+10,285%

$100 → $10,385

WR 62.4% · DD −7.3%

Live Year

👁️ View Snapshot

Total Return

+41,936%

↑ $100 → $42,036 · 2021

Win Rate

66.2%

310 wins · 158 losses · 468 trades

Max Drawdown

−6.9%

Best DD management · 1H TF

Sharpe Ratio

11.68

Highest across all 10 year-TF combos

Profit Factor

3.54

Best PF year for 1H

Expectancy

$89.61

Highest per-trade of all years

Long WR

54.8%

197 long trades

Short WR

74.5%

271 shorts — dominant signal

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2021

Month	Trades	WR	Net P&L	Balance EOD
Jan	35	69%	+$105.16	$205.16
Feb	34	68%	+$168.61	$373.77
Mar	45	64%	+$288.89	$662.66
Apr	41	63%	+$499.93	$1,162.59
May	39	77%	+$1,570.98	$2,733.57
Jun	31	61%	+$1,184.16	$3,917.73
Jul	38	68%	+$2,954.58	$6,872.31
Aug	53	74%	+$8,548.84	$15,421.15
Sep	48	58%	+$7,176.81	$22,597.96
Oct	30	53%	+$3,554.21	$26,152.17
Nov	43	63%	+$9,125.63	$35,277.80
Dec	31	74%	+$6,759.03	$42,036.83

Total Return

+11,388%

↑ $100 → $11,488 · Bear Market 2022

Win Rate

63.8%

302 wins · 171 losses · 473 trades

Max Drawdown

−7.3%

Survived FTX collapse cleanly

Sharpe Ratio

9.88

Excellent in a down year

Profit Factor

2.88

Gross profit / gross loss

Expectancy

$24.08

Positive edge through bear

Long WR

57.2%

229 longs

Short WR

70.1%

244 shorts — bear alignment

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2022 (Bear / FTX)

Month	Trades	WR	Net P&L	Balance EOD
Jan	40	55%	+$48.55	$148.55
Feb	35	54%	+$53.56	$202.11
Mar	38	66%	+$112.19	$314.30
Apr	42	74%	+$212.02	$526.32
May	50	60%	+$307.83	$834.15
Jun	34	68%	+$478.47	$1,312.62
Jul	34	74%	+$987.25	$2,299.87
Aug	51	69%	+$1,608.53	$3,908.40
Sep	33	73%	+$2,086.42	$5,994.82
Oct	45	60%	+$1,956.32	$7,951.14
Nov	29	66%	+$1,788.47	$9,739.61
Dec	42	52%	+$1,748.96	$11,488.57

Total Return

+3,856%

↑ $100 → $3,956 · Sideways 2023

Win Rate

60.9%

307 wins · 197 losses · 504 trades

Max Drawdown

−7.4%

1H navigated 2023 sideways cleanly

Sharpe Ratio

9.49

Compared to 15m (4.67) — far superior

Profit Factor

3.18

vs 15m PF 1.33 in same year

Expectancy

$7.65

Per trade edge maintained

Long WR

64.8%

216 longs — recovery alignment

Short WR

58.0%

288 shorts

Key Insight — 2023 Comparison: While 15m struggled severely in 2023 (WR 49.8%, DD −34.2%), 1H navigated the same market with WR 60.9% and DD −7.4%. The longer timeframe filtered out the noise that hurt 15m, producing 12/12 green months vs 11/12 for 15m.

Total Return

+13,089%

↑ $100 → $13,189 · Halving 2024

Win Rate

64.6%

312 wins · 171 losses · 483 trades

Max Drawdown

−7.5%

Consistent DD ceiling across all years

Sharpe Ratio

11.01

Best Sharpe in 2024 vs 15m (8.23)

Profit Factor

3.79

Strongest PF in the 5-year period

Expectancy

$27.10

Highest per-trade value in 2024

Long WR

67.4%

233 longs — bull alignment

Short WR

62.0%

250 shorts

Total Return

+10,285%

↑ $100 → $10,385 · 2025

Win Rate

62.4%

364 wins · 219 losses · 583 trades

Max Drawdown

−7.3%

Ultra-consistent DD across all 5 years

Sharpe Ratio

9.52

Consistent quality in current year

Profit Factor

3.72

Stable edge maintained

Expectancy

$17.64

Per trade compound

Long WR

58.1%

248 longs

Short WR

65.7%

335 shorts — correction bias 2025

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2025

Month	Trades	WR	Net P&L	Balance EOD
Jan	47	72%	+$72.33	$172.33
Feb	38	53%	+$49.22	$221.55
Mar	48	58%	+$82.65	$304.20
Apr	53	64%	+$178.90	$483.10
May	46	70%	+$296.41	$779.51
Jun	37	57%	+$117.66	$897.17
Jul	68	57%	+$414.13	$1,311.30
Aug	46	63%	+$600.18	$1,911.48
Sep	52	50%	+$120.41	$2,031.89
Oct	54	67%	+$1,247.52	$3,279.41
Nov	46	65%	+$2,087.76	$5,367.17
Dec	48	73%	+$5,018.38	$10,385.55

5-YEAR MASTER COMPARISON — BTCUSDT · $100 START · 10× LEVERAGE · COMPOUND · SMART MONEY

Metric

15m 2021

15m 2022

15m 2023 ⚠

15m 2024

15m 2025

Return

+167,456%

+66,188%

+2,658%

+57,536%

+18,594%

Win Rate

65.8%

56.6%

49.8%

56.8%

54.8%

Max DD

−10.3%

−11.7%

−34.2%

−13.1%

−12.3%

Sharpe

9.83

8.89

4.67

8.23

7.11

Profit Factor

2.60

1.75

1.33

1.81

1.68

Green Months

12/12

11/12

10/11

11/12

12/12

Max Streak Loss

Metric

1H 2021

1H 2022

1H 2023

1H 2024

1H 2025

Return

+41,936%

+11,388%

+3,856%

+13,089%

+10,285%

Win Rate

66.2%

63.8%

60.9%

64.6%

62.4%

Max DD

−6.9%

−7.3%

−7.4%

−7.5%

−7.3%

Sharpe

11.68

9.88

9.49

11.01

9.52

Profit Factor

3.54

2.88

3.18

3.79

3.72

Green Months

12/12

Max Streak Loss

1H — THE CONSISTENT MACHINE

Max DD never exceeded −7.5% across any year. Win rate never fell below 60%. Green months: 60/60 (perfect). Profit Factor consistently above 2.8 in all years. If you value predictability and drawdown control, 1H is the choice.

15m — HIGH RETURN, HARDER RIDE

Best years (+167,456% in 2021) are explosive but 2023 was genuinely difficult (−34.2% DD, 49.8% WR). The upside is dramatically higher in bull cycles. If you can hold through sideways years without interfering, 15m compounds faster.

UNIVERSAL TRUTH ACROSS 10 YEAR-TF COMBINATIONS

Every year, both timeframes — profitable. 1H: 60/60 green months. 15m: 56/59 green months. No year produced a total loss. The edge is persistent across bull markets, bear markets, and sideways chop.

⚠ Risk Disclosure: All data presented is derived from a replay engine running the live Smart Money strategy on historical OHLCV data. This is not live trading performance. Replay results assume perfect execution at signal price with no exchange downtime, API failure, or partial fills. Leverage amplifies both gains and losses — compound sizing means each drawdown is larger in absolute dollar terms as the account grows. 2023 15m results demonstrate that past profitable periods do not guarantee future consistency. Never allocate capital you cannot afford to lose.

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Key Performance Metrics & Monthly Breakdown

Total Return

+163,343%

↑ $1,000 → $1,635,978 (Mar 2025–Apr 2026)

Win Rate

79.5%

3,032 wins / 784 losses

Max Drawdown

−9.97%

Peak-to-trough measured

Profit Factor

7.01

Gross profit / gross loss

Sharpe Ratio

2.52

Risk-adjusted performance

Total Trades

3,816

~287 trades / month avg

Avg Trade Duration

~38m

Avg hold (mostly 15m–45m)

Recovery Factor

16,383

Total return / max drawdown

Equity Curve — Full Backtest Period

Portfolio Equity

Backtest Data Not Live

MJW CryptoTrader Pro full equity curve, 13-month backtest from $1,000 to $1,635,978 (Mar 2025 to Apr 2026), BTC/USDT Smart Money strategy

Monthly Breakdown

Month	Trades	Win Rate	Return	Drawdown	Net P&L
March 2025	42	64.3%	+167.8%	−9.96%	+$1,678
April 2025	287	75.6%	+4,837.9%	−9.22%	+$129,562
May 2025	292	79.8%	+85.7%	−0.56%	+$113,315
June 2025	294	76.9%	+45.7%	−0.84%	+$112,098
July 2025	268	78.0%	+23.9%	−0.32%	+$85,326
August 2025	279	79.9%	+23.8%	−0.33%	+$105,208
September 2025	279	82.4%	+18.6%	−0.16%	+$101,742
October 2025	318	80.2%	+21.1%	−0.50%	+$137,288
November 2025	280	78.2%	+16.4%	−0.21%	+$129,073
December 2025	301	79.4%	+14.6%	−0.21%	+$133,978
January 2026	289	83.0%	+12.7%	−0.10%	+$133,580
February 2026	309	82.8%	+15.0%	−0.42%	+$177,550
March 2026	303	79.2%	+11.7%	−0.14%	+$158,992
April 2026	275	79.3%	+7.6%	−0.15%	+$115,587

⚠️ Important Disclaimer: All data presented on this page represents historical backtest simulation results and does not constitute live trading performance. Backtest results are inherently subject to overfitting and do not account for slippage, exchange fees, liquidity constraints, or real-world execution conditions. Past performance — whether live or simulated — is not indicative of future results. This software is not a guarantee of profit. Trading cryptocurrency involves significant financial risk, and you should never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose.

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5-Year Performance Report

5-Year Backtest Results by Timeframe

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2021 (BTC Bull Cycle)

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2022 (Bear Market)

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2023 (Sideways/Recovery)

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2024 (BTC Halving Year)

Monthly Breakdown — 15m · 2025

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2021

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2022 (Bear / FTX)

Monthly Breakdown — 1H · 2025

Key Performance Metrics & Monthly Breakdown

Monthly Breakdown